🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

If alien life is discovered in the Solar System before 2050, which place will be the natural environment of the first extraterrestrial (Solar) life-form of which there is conclusive evidence?

9
38
Total Forecasters63
Community Prediction2.97 (2.01 - 5.8)

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This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
2.014
2.965
5.803
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AngraMainyu
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Economy & Business
Natural Sciences
Technology
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Enceladus
Solar System
Atmosphere of Jupiter
Colonization of Mars
Titan (moon)
Ganymede (moon)
Venus
Europa (moon)
Atmosphere of Venus

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