Question

Will there be more than 13 people off of planet Earth on December 31, 2050?

29 comments29

Total Forecasters456

Community Prediction95.1% (90% - 99%)

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50%

community: 95.1%

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Authors:

traviswfisher

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

International Space Station

Moon

Colonization of Mars

15% of global population lives within a few miles of a coast − and the number is growing rapidly

The Conversation•Dec 13, 2024

The Moon and Mars – Not a pie in the sky if the FAA and EPA will just get out of the way

American Thinker•Dec 15, 2024

From Starship tests to Starliner woes, recapping the biggest spaceflight missions of 2024

USA Today•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

traviswfisher

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

International Space Station

Moon

Colonization of Mars

15% of global population lives within a few miles of a coast − and the number is growing rapidly

The Conversation•Dec 13, 2024

The Moon and Mars – Not a pie in the sky if the FAA and EPA will just get out of the way

American Thinker•Dec 15, 2024

From Starship tests to Starliner woes, recapping the biggest spaceflight missions of 2024

USA Today•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will humanity maintain a continuous off-Earth presence until 2050?

80%

How many people will be in space on April 12, 2030?

24.4

Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?

50%

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Will there be more than 13 people off of planet Earth on December 31, 2050?

Make a Prediction

Will humanity maintain a continuous off-Earth presence until 2050?

How many people will be in space on April 12, 2030?

Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?

Comments

Will humanity maintain a continuous off-Earth presence until 2050?

How many people will be in space on April 12, 2030?

Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?

Will humanity maintain a continuous off-Earth presence until 2050?

How many people will be in space on April 12, 2030?

Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?

Will humanity maintain a continuous off-Earth presence until 2050?

How many people will be in space on April 12, 2030?

Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?