M

Question

How many excess deaths will the United States experience during COVID-19 (March 8th 2020 through December 31st 2021)?

Resolved :961k892k
Total Forecasters53
Community Prediction892k (823k - 970k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%822.8k
median892.1k
upper 75%970.1k
Upper bound
>1.5M0.6%

What was the final result?961k

Community Baseline Score
7.3
Community Peer Score
30.1
Authors:
Opened:Jan 2, 2021
Closes:Oct 1, 2021
Resolves:Feb 22, 2022

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