Question

How many excess deaths will the United States experience during COVID-19 (March 8th 2020 through December 31st 2021)?

Resolved :961k

27 comments27

Total Forecasters53

Community Prediction892k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1.5M

...

822.8k

892.1k

970.1k

0.6%

What was the final result?961k

Community Baseline Score

7.3

Community Peer Score

30.1

Authors:

ethulin

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Mortality displacement

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

176k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

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