Question

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction207

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<120

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>350

...

4.5%

173

207

259

7.5%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

AI Progress Essay Contest

AI Technical Benchmarks

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Education

Aerospace engineering

ImageNet

Database

History

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

195

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

AI Progress Essay Contest

AI Technical Benchmarks

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Education

Aerospace engineering

ImageNet

Database

History

S&P 500 Off To Best Start In 27 Years As Winning Streak Extends To 5 Months

Forbes•Oct 1, 2024

What's New With AMD Stock?

Forbes•Oct 1, 2024

'A lot of money is going to get wasted': MIT economist sounds the alarm on AI hype

Business Insider•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

195

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

Make a Prediction

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?

Comments

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?