Question

What proportion of last-round votes will Andrew Yang get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?

Resolved :00.0242

44 comments44

Total Forecasters63

Community Prediction0.0242 (0.00483 - 0.388)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

0.004829

0.02421

0.3881

What was the final result?0

Community Baseline Score

140.0

Community Peer Score

58.2

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Democratic Party (US)

Bill de Blasio

Eric Adams denied millions in public campaign matching funds in New York City

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

NYC mayor denied public matching funds for re-election

•Dec 17, 2024

New York City Mayor Eric Adams denied millions in campaign funds

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will a Democrat win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

92.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Democratic Party (US)

Bill de Blasio

Eric Adams denied millions in public campaign matching funds in New York City

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

NYC mayor denied public matching funds for re-election

•Dec 17, 2024

New York City Mayor Eric Adams denied millions in campaign funds

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will a Democrat win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

92.5%