Question

What proportion of last-round votes will Andrew Yang get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?

Resolved :0

44 comments44

Total Forecasters63

Community Prediction0.0242

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

0.004829

0.02421

0.3881

What was the final result?0

Community Baseline Score

140.0

Community Peer Score

58.2

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Democratic Party (US)

Bill de Blasio

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of January 2025?

95%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Democratic Party (US)

Bill de Blasio

Portland’s first ranked-choice vote elects progressive outsider as mayor

Guardian•Nov 13, 2024

Inside the only Manhattan voting district that favored Trump in the 2024 presidential election: ‘It used to be a safe city’

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

Democratic jockeying for the 2028 presidential election is already underway

NBC•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of January 2025?

95%