Question

What proportion of last-round votes will Andrew Yang get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?

Resolved :0

44 comments44

Total Forecasters63

Community Prediction0.0242

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

0.004829

0.02421

0.3881

What was the final result?0

Community Baseline Score

140.0

Community Peer Score

58.2

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Democratic Party (US)

Bill de Blasio

Portland’s first ranked-choice vote elects progressive outsider as mayor

Guardian•Nov 13, 2024

Inside the only Manhattan voting district that favored Trump in the 2024 presidential election: ‘It used to be a safe city’

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

Democratic jockeying for the 2028 presidential election is already underway

NBC•Nov 16, 2024

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95%

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