Question

Will enough signatures be gathered to schedule a recall election for California Govenor Gavin Newsom?

Resolved :Yes

104 comments104

Total Forecasters189

Community Prediction90%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

54.4

Community Peer Score

17.3

median 90.0%mean 89.7%

Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Secretary of State of California

Gavin Newsom

California

Constitution of California

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

45%

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

nextbigfuture

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Secretary of State of California

Gavin Newsom

California

Constitution of California

Gavin Newsom to meet with Biden after vowing to protect state’s progressive policies against Trump admin

FOX News•Nov 12, 2024

California Gov. Gavin Newsom will spend part of week in DC as he tries to Trump-proof state policies

Associated Press•Nov 12, 2024

Newsom Is Traveling to DC This Week. Here's Why.

Townhall•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

45%