Question

For the month of February 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?

Resolved :0.3790.171

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction0.171 (-0.09 - 0.445)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	<-5	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>5
community	0.3%	-0.08997	0.1707	0.445	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<-5	0.3%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	-0.08997	—
median	0.1707	—
upper 75%	0.445	—
Upper bound
>5	0.3%	—

What was the final result?0.379

Community Baseline Score

112.9

Community Peer Score

5.7

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Dec 22, 2020

Closes:

Feb 21, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 5, 2021

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Current Population Survey

Bureau of Labor Statistics

The pivotal February jobs report is out Friday. Here's what to expect

CNBC•Mar 7, 2025

U.S. economy likely generated a solid 160,000 jobs last month, but Trump’s trade wars cloud outlook

Associated Press•Mar 7, 2025

What to expect from the first jobs report of Trump’s second presidency

CNN•Mar 7, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months?

177k

What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?

1.48M

Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?

40%

Comments

? comments