Question

Will Washington state’s Department of Revenue report a gross business income for Q1 2021 that reaches or exceeds pre-COVID levels from Q1 2019?

Resolved :Yes

2 comments2

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction40%

Make a Prediction

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-33.8

Community Peer Score

8.6

median 40.0%mean 38.6%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Washington (state)

COVID-19

Department of Revenue

Public health

Medicine

Virology

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What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Washington (state)

COVID-19

Department of Revenue

Public health

Medicine

Virology

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Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%