Question

Will Washington state’s Department of Revenue report a gross business income for Q1 2021 that reaches or exceeds pre-COVID levels from Q1 2019?

Resolved :Yes40%

2 comments2

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction40% (33% - 42%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-33.8

Community Peer Score

8.6

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Washington (state)

COVID-19

Department of Revenue

Public health

Medicine

Virology

Majority of small businesses anticipate revenue spikes under Trump's 1st year in office: data

FOX News•Dec 16, 2024

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Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Outgoing Washington governor suggests ‘wealth tax’ to avoid cuts to education and police

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

1.18

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Washington (state)

COVID-19

Department of Revenue

Public health

Medicine

Virology

Majority of small businesses anticipate revenue spikes under Trump's 1st year in office: data

FOX News•Dec 16, 2024

Looking Back At A Year Of Resilience And What To Expect In 2025

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Outgoing Washington governor suggests ‘wealth tax’ to avoid cuts to education and police

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

1.18

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Washington state’s Department of Revenue report a gross business income for Q1 2021 that reaches or exceeds pre-COVID levels from Q1 2019?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Comments

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

What will real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in the United States in the following quarters?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?