Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will (seasonally-adjusted, annualized) unemployment insurance payments be in 2021 Q1, in billions of $USD?

Resolved :Above upper bound500
5
Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction500 (493 - 500)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<10
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>500
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
492.8
>500
>500
66.5%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
102.8
Community Peer Score
57.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
Health & Pandemics
2020-2021 Leaderboard
United States
Economist

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