Question

What will the US Q1 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?

Resolved :6.45.47

9 comments9

Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction5.47 (3.17 - 7.84)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction

community

<-35

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>35

...

0.2%

3.172

5.473

7.845

0.2%

What was the final result?6.4

Community Baseline Score

97.8

Community Peer Score

4.0

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Dec 22, 2020

Closes:

Feb 28, 2021

Resolves:

May 2, 2021

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

United States

Economic growth

Bureau of Economic Analysis

U.S. economy grew at a healthy 2.3% pace last quarter, driven by increased consumer spending

CBS•Jan 30, 2025

U.S. Economy Grew 2.3 Percent in Fourth Quarter

New York Times•Jan 30, 2025

U.S. economy ends 2024 with solid growth, up 2.8% for full year

PBS NewsHour•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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