Question

The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?

Resolved :No

12 comments12

Total Forecasters85

Community Prediction19%

Make a Prediction

community: 19%

Did this actually happen?No

median 19.0%mean 21.5%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Technology

Federal Aviation Administration

Transport

Military science

Robotics

Unmanned aerial vehicle

Aerospace engineering

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

2037-08

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Technology

Federal Aviation Administration

Transport

Military science

Robotics

Unmanned aerial vehicle

Aerospace engineering

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Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

2037-08

MetaculusM

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The FAA to soon open the door to commercial use of unmanned aerial systems?

Make a Prediction

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

Comments

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?