Question

Will scientists conclude that delaying SARS-CoV2 vaccines second dose did or would have saved lives?

Resolved :Yes

39 comments39

Total Forecasters127

Community Prediction80%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

75.0

Community Peer Score

8.9

median 80.0%mean 77.6%

Authors:

thatMikeBishop

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Update: the variants vs. the vaccines

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.06

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

thatMikeBishop

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nature Paper Shows the Covid 'Vaccines' Increased Your Risk of Getting Covid

Lew Rockwell•Nov 13, 2024

CDC warns of measles surge and decline in vaccinations as Trump nominates vaccine-skeptic RFK Jr to head health

Daily Mail•Nov 16, 2024

COVID-19’s Surprising Effect on Cancer

Time•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Update: the variants vs. the vaccines

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.06