Question

Will Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech, or Oxford/AstraZeneca start producing an updated vaccine targeting a SARS-CoV-2 variant before 2023?

Resolved :Yes

24 comments24

Total Forecasters124

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

7.4

Community Peer Score

1.3

median 99.0%mean 96.2%

Authors:

alexrjl

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Social Democrats (Denmark)

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

59%

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