Question

Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2025?

Resolved :Yes90%

10 comments10

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction90% (77.6% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

23.7

Community Peer Score

5.9

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Dec 30, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2024

Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Effective altruism

CNBC Changemakers: How we chose the 2025 list of women business leaders

CNBC•Feb 24, 2025

Anthropic launches a new AI model that ‘thinks’ as long as you want

TechCrunch•Feb 25, 2025

Elon Musk hates OpenAI's for-profit transformation plan. He's not the only one.

Business Insider•Feb 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?

2026-09-01

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Dec 30, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2024

Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Effective altruism

CNBC Changemakers: How we chose the 2025 list of women business leaders

CNBC•Feb 24, 2025

Anthropic launches a new AI model that ‘thinks’ as long as you want

TechCrunch•Feb 25, 2025

Elon Musk hates OpenAI's for-profit transformation plan. He's not the only one.

Business Insider•Feb 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?

2026-09-01

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%