Question
Will a charity primarily operating in China become an ACE Top Charity in 2021 or 2022?
Resolved :No17%Total Forecasters65
Community Prediction17% (12% - 29%)
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Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
60.4
Community Peer Score
10.9
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?
32%
When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?
2026-09-01
In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?
85%