M

Question

Will a single novel SARS-CoV-2 variant that is at least 30% more transmissible than preexisting variants infect 10M worldwide before mid-2021?

Resolved :Yes
Total Forecasters201
Community Prediction95%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
86.3
Community Peer Score
5.7
median 95.0%mean 93.7%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%

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