Question
Question
Will a single novel SARS-CoV-2 variant that is at least 30% more transmissible than preexisting variants infect 10M worldwide before mid-2021?
Resolved :YesTotal Forecasters201
Community Prediction95%
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Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Baseline Score
86.3
Community Peer Score
5.7
median 95.0%mean 93.7%
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