Question

Will a single novel SARS-CoV-2 variant that is at least 30% more transmissible than preexisting variants infect 10M worldwide before mid-2021?

Resolved :Yes95%

53 comments53

Total Forecasters201

Community Prediction95% (92% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

86.3

Community Peer Score

5.7

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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