🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will the the main tomb chamber of the mausoleum of Qin Shi Huang be opened?

7
4
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction2047-11-12 (2038-04-01 - 2068-07-08)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2200-12-31
...
...
...
...
2038-04-01 06:26
2047-11-12 11:27
2068-07-08 02:59
2.7%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Grigfall
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Social Sciences
Mausoleum of the First Qin Emperor
Terracotta Army
Records of the Grand Historian
Shaanxi
Qin Shi Huang
China

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