Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

Resolved :Yes80%
4
32
Total Forecasters117
Community Prediction80% (72% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 80%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
56.0
Community Peer Score
10.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
tetraspace
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Time Person of the Year
President-elect of the United States
Associated Press

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