Question

How many people in the US between the ages 16-24 will be employed in 2021 (in thousands)?

Resolved :18.7k18.2k

8 comments8

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction18.2k (17k - 19.4k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<10k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>30k

...

0.5%

16.99k

18.24k

19.38k

0.2%

What was the final result?18.7k

Community Baseline Score

80.0

Community Peer Score

4.4

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Current Population Survey

COVID-19

Great Recession in the US

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Number seeking unemployment drops right before holidays after big jump a week ago

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

US applications for unemployment benefits come back down after last week’s big rise

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Census Bureau Massively Revises Up Population Growth: +8 Million in 3 Years, +3.3 Million Last Year, Largely due to Immigration. US Population Surges to 340 Million

•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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