Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many people 65+ will be employed in the US in 2021 (in thousands)?

Resolved :10.6k10.3k
2
4
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction10.3k (9.69k - 10.9k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<3k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>13k
...
...
...
...
...
0.3%
9.69k
10.3k
10.93k
1.9%

What was the final result?10.6k

Community Baseline Score
77.8
Community Peer Score
4.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2020-2021 Leaderboard
Current Population Survey
AARP
United States
Medicine
Virology
Bureau of Labor Statistics

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