🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many people will be employed in the US wholesale and retail industries in 2021 (in thousands)?

Resolved :19.6k19.4k
3
4
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction19.4k (18.9k - 19.8k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<15k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>22k
...
...
...
...
...
0.3%
18.91k
19.36k
19.8k
0.6%

What was the final result?19.6k

Community Baseline Score
65.8
Community Peer Score
13.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2020-2021 Leaderboard
Current Population Survey
Retail
Retail Industry Leaders Association
United States
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
Bureau of Labor Statistics

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