Question

How many people will be employed in the US education industry in 2021 (in thousands)?

Resolved :13.5k14k

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction14k (13.6k - 14.4k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	<10k	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>17k
community	0.2%	13.58k	14.01k	14.43k	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<10k	0.2%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	13.58k	—
median	14.01k	—
upper 75%	14.43k	—
Upper bound
>17k	0.3%	—

What was the final result?13.5k

Community Baseline Score

54.9

Community Peer Score

13.5

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Dec 31, 2020

Closes:

Aug 31, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 14, 2022

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Current Population Survey

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Chart Shows Reading, Math Scores Since Education Department Was Implemented

Newsweek•Mar 7, 2025

Job Cuts Are Already Higher Than All Of 2024

Forbes•Mar 7, 2025

Dismantling of Education Department puts future of trillions of dollars in student loans in question

CNN•Mar 7, 2025

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