Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What percentage of the US federal budget will be used for Medicare in 2024?

4
4
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction15.5 (14.2 - 16.2)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<10
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>20
...
...
...
...
...
0.6%
14.22
15.5
16.16
0.8%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Health & Pandemics
Economy & Business
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Federal Funding Accountability and Transparency Act of 2006
Medicare (United States)
Lyndon B. Johnson
United States
Donald Trump

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