Question

How many nuclear weapons will exist on January 1, 2075?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction3k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<50

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>500k

...

20.6%

181

18k

7.9%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Technology

Federation of American Scientists

Global Zero (campaign)

Deterrence theory

Will the world be free from nuclear weapons at any point before 2075?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

10%

How many nuclear weapons will exist globally in 2050?

10.9k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Technology

Federation of American Scientists

Global Zero (campaign)

Deterrence theory

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Will the world be free from nuclear weapons at any point before 2075?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

10%

How many nuclear weapons will exist globally in 2050?

10.9k

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How many nuclear weapons will exist on January 1, 2075?

Make a Prediction

Will the world be free from nuclear weapons at any point before 2075?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

How many nuclear weapons will exist globally in 2050?

Comments

Will the world be free from nuclear weapons at any point before 2075?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

How many nuclear weapons will exist globally in 2050?

Will the world be free from nuclear weapons at any point before 2075?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

How many nuclear weapons will exist globally in 2050?

Will the world be free from nuclear weapons at any point before 2075?

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

How many nuclear weapons will exist globally in 2050?