Question

How many nuclear weapons will exist on January 1, 2075?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction3.3k

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My Prediction

community

<50

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>500k

...

20.6%

181.5

3.296k

17.98k

7.9%

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Geopolitics

Technology

Federation of American Scientists

Global Zero (campaign)

Deterrence theory

A new nuclear arms race is beginning. It will be far more dangerous than the last one

Guardian•Nov 14, 2024

Navigating the Fiscal Storm: A New Course for U.S. National Defense

Lew Rockwell•Nov 15, 2024

How Kim Jong-un's Fears Shape North Korea's Nuclear Weapons Agenda

•Nov 18, 2024

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