Question

How much will Open Philanthropy grant in their focus area of Potential Risks from Advanced Artificial Intelligence in 2021?

Resolved :64.1M50.3M

16 comments16

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction50.3M (30.5M - 95.6M)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction

community

<3M

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100M

...

1.1%

30.53M

50.27M

95.58M

22.7%

What was the final result?64.1M

Community Baseline Score

27.2

Community Peer Score

20.9

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Jan 7, 2021

Closes:

Aug 19, 2021

Resolves:

Feb 28, 2022

2021 Leaderboard

Open Philanthropy

Future of Life Institute

Center for Security and Emerging Technology

Risk management

OpenAI

SoftBank in talks to invest as much as $25B in OpenAI, report says

TechCrunch•Jan 30, 2025

SoftBank ‘in talks’ to invest up to $25bn in OpenAI

Guardian•Jan 31, 2025

SoftBank to invest as much as $25B into OpenAI to become firm’s largest backer: report

New York Post•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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