Question

What will the global average Democracy Index score be for 2021?

Resolved :5.285.35

9 comments9

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction5.35 (5.15 - 5.53)

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CDF

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

5.151

5.346

5.532

What was the final result?5.28

Community Baseline Score

132.9

Community Peer Score

11.6

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Jan 14, 2021

Closes:

Dec 24, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 23, 2022

Politics

2021 Leaderboard

Economist Intelligence Unit

The message voters around the world sent to leaders in 2024: ‘You’re fired’

PBS NewsHour•Jan 27, 2025

Economic Map Shows Countries With Fast, Slow Growth Forecast for 2025

Newsweek•Jan 27, 2025

I study democracy worldwide − here’s how Texas is eroding human rights, free expression and civil liberties

The Conversation•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be Ukraine's score in The Democracy Index in 2024?

5.48

Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

30%

What will be the Democracy Index of Russia in the 2030 report by the Economist Intelligence Unit?

2.29

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