Question

What will the global average Democracy Index score be for 2021?

Resolved :5.285.35

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction5.35 (5.15 - 5.53)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	5.151	5.346	5.532
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	5.151	—
median	5.346	—
upper 75%	5.532	—

What was the final result?5.28

Community Baseline Score

132.9

Community Peer Score

11.6

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Jan 14, 2021

Closes:

Dec 24, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 23, 2022

Politics

2021 Leaderboard

Economist Intelligence Unit

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Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

40%

What will be the Democracy Index of Russia in the 2030 report by the Economist Intelligence Unit?

2.26

When will The Economist rank Russia as a Democracy in its Democracy Index?

2053-11-09

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