Question

Will ≥3 million Americans be locked down because of B117 by March 11th, 2021?

Resolved :No

20 comments20

Total Forecasters97

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

35.5

Community Peer Score

15.9

median 20.0%mean 23.0%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

28%

The pandemic lockdown series

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

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