Question

Will ≥3 million Americans be locked down because of B117 by March 11th, 2021?

Resolved :No20%

20 comments20

Total Forecasters97

Community Prediction20% (15% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

35.5

Community Peer Score

15.9

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Jan 13, 2021

Closes:

Feb 26, 2021

Resolves:

Mar 13, 2021

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Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

28%

The pandemic lockdown series

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

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