M

Question

How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2022?

Resolved :549562
-1
25
Total Forecasters47
Community Prediction562 (544 - 588)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<235
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1k
...
...
...
...
...
0.3%
544.2
561.6
588.3
0.3%

What was the final result?549

Community Baseline Score
59.5
Community Peer Score
10.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
mattvdm
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Sports & Entertainment
2021 Leaderboard
Amazon (company)
Toby Ord
The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity

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