Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What percentage of final round votes will Sadiq Khan win in the 2021 London mayoral election?

Resolved :55.259.4
6
13
Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction59.4 (53.2 - 63)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<33
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>66
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
53.22
59.44
63.02
12.3%

What was the final result?55.2

Community Baseline Score
18.0
Community Peer Score
13.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2021 Leaderboard
2021 London mayoral election
Mayor of London
2021 London Assembly election
Contingent vote
Labour Party (UK)
Sadiq Khan
London mayoral elections

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