Question

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

35 comments35

Total Forecasters98

Community Prediction2037-04-03

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2080-12-27

...

2030-05-04 13:45

2037-04-03 16:41

2048-05-14 16:17

7.9%

Authors:

j.m.

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When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?

Will Dubai's planned aerial taxis be operational before 2027?

34%

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Authors:

j.m.

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Xpeng's new 'land aircraft carrier' is a $276,000 van with a 2-man quadcopter, and it thinks it can sell 10,000 of them a year

Business Insider•Nov 15, 2024

UK flying taxi firm pins hopes on investors as cash runs short

Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

Tesla stock surges as Trump plans to make it easier to get self-driving cars on the road

Daily Mail•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

Will it be possible to order flying taxis in at least 5 cities before 2029?

Will Dubai's planned aerial taxis be operational before 2027?

34%