Question

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction1.26 (0.908 - 1.58)

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weight:

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community

<-0.5

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

0.7%

0.9077

1.262

1.584

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Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Argus retinal prosthesis

Medical technology assessment

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How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

1.74

What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?

57.2

When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?

2034-03-10

Comments

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Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Argus retinal prosthesis

Medical technology assessment

Diabetic retinopathy is treatable and preventable – but only if you catch it in time

USA Today•Dec 17, 2024

Elon Predicts One Million Humans Will Be Augmented By Neuralink By 2030

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Will 2025 Be a "Technology Wake-Up Call" for Clinicians?

Psychology Today•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

1.74

What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?

57.2

When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?

2034-03-10

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

Make a Prediction

How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?

When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?

Comments

How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?

When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?

How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?

When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?

How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

What percentage of the US population will have been diagnosed with myopia/nearsightedness in 2050?

When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?