Question

How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction1.74

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<-5e-1

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

0.4%

1.19

1.74

2.47

24.2%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

Technology

Neuroscience

Argus retinal prosthesis

Medical technology assessment

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

1.26

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

59%

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

2055-05

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

Technology

Neuroscience

Argus retinal prosthesis

Medical technology assessment

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How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

1.26

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

59%

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

2055-05

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How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

Make a Prediction

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

Comments

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?