Question
How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction1.74 (1.19 - 2.47)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<-0.5 | 0.4% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 1.186 | — |
median | 1.742 | — |
upper 75% | 2.467 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2.5 | 24.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031