Question
How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction1.74 (1.19 - 2.47)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-0.5 | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.186 | — |
| median | 1.742 | — |
| upper 75% | 2.467 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2.5 | 24.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
