Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

9
7
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction1.74 (1.19 - 2.47)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<-0.5
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2.5
...
...
...
...
...
0.4%
1.186
1.742
2.467
24.2%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
EvanHarper
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Natural Sciences
Technology
Neuroscience
Argus retinal prosthesis
Medical technology assessment
Macular degeneration
Medicine
Neurology
Ophthalmology

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