Question

How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction1.74

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<-0.5

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.5

...

0.4%

1.186

1.742

2.467

24.2%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

Technology

Neuroscience

Argus retinal prosthesis

Medical technology assessment

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

1.26

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

59%

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

2055-05-23

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

Technology

Neuroscience

Argus retinal prosthesis

Medical technology assessment

Brain cell transplants might be key to beating Alzheimer's, doctors claim

Daily Mail•Nov 12, 2024

New research supports brain cell transplantation as a treatment for some disorders

Raw Story•Nov 13, 2024

Why we now think the myopia epidemic can be slowed – or even reversed

New Scientist•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

1.26

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

59%

When will Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) reach smartphone-level market penetration?

2055-05-23