Question

How many people will be employed in the US manufacturing industry in 2021 (in thousands)?

Resolved :12.3k12.4k

6 comments6

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction12.4k (12.3k - 12.4k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<11k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>13k

...

0.1%

12.29k

12.35k

12.43k

0.8%

What was the final result?12.3k

Community Baseline Score

76.9

Community Peer Score

4.7

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

COVID-19

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Great Recession in the US

2025 Outlook: Five Trends That Will Impact The Economy And Markets

Forbes•Dec 24, 2024

How e-commerce is disrupting traditional seasonal work in retail

CNBC•Dec 24, 2024

US applications for unemployment benefits come back down after last week’s big rise

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will be employed in the electric vehicle industry in the United States in the following years?

118k

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Comments

? comments