Question

How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction300M (108M - 766M)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:

	<1M	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>10B
community	0.4%	108.4M	299.8M	766.2M	1.9%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<1M	0.4%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	108.4M	—
median	299.8M	—
upper 75%	766.2M	—
Upper bound
>10B	1.9%	—

Authors:

mdickens

Opened:

Jan 13, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2032

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