Question

How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction273M

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1M

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>10B

...

0.4%

92.5M

273M

752M

2.2%

Authors:

mdickens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

GiveWell

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

35%

How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?

480

In 2027, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell?

4.89k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

mdickens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

GiveWell

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Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

35%

How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?

480

In 2027, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell?

4.89k

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How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?

Make a Prediction

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?

In 2027, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell?

Comments

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?

In 2027, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell?

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?

In 2027, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell?

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?

In 2027, what will the cost-effectiveness of the Against Malaria Foundation be, according to GiveWell?