Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will total oil demand globally be in 2021?

Resolved :4.25k4.32k
3
3
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction4.32k (4.15k - 4.47k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<3k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5k
...
...
...
...
...
0.7%
4.151k
4.322k
4.472k
1.2%

What was the final result?4.25k

Community Baseline Score
60.0
Community Peer Score
7.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooks
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Environment & Climate
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
International Energy Agency
OPEC
Petroleum
United States
Public health
Medicine
Immunology

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