Question

How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?

Resolved :560

8 comments8

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction583

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<150

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1.7k

...

1.9%

497.1

583.4

689.4

0.6%

What was the final result?560

Community Baseline Score

84.9

Community Peer Score

26.7

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MetaculusOutlooks

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Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

Artificial Intelligence

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14.4k

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2031-01-01 period?

50k

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