M

Question

What factor should the median 4-week-ahead COVIDhub Ensemble forecast made on 4 Jan(a forecast for the 24-30 Jan week) be multiplied by so that it equals the reported number of new US incident deaths?

Resolved :1.241.26
Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction1.26 (1.14 - 1.38)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>3
...
...
...
...
1.144
1.261
1.379
0.4%

What was the final result?1.24

Community Baseline Score
83.2
Community Peer Score
6.9
Authors:
Opened:Jan 6, 2021
Closes:Jan 16, 2021
Resolves:Mar 26, 2021

Comments

? comments