Question

What will be the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31 if greater than or equal to 50% of Americans initiate vaccination (1st dose received) with a COVID-19 vaccine by 2021-03-01?

Resolved :Ambiguous

11 comments11

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction516k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1M

...

456.3k

515.8k

575.2k

0.8%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report

Public health

COVID-19

Pfizer

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

Food and Drug Administration

National Center for Health Statistics

Johns Hopkins University

Moderna

Why getting your flu and COVID-19 vaccines before the holidays is a good idea

PBS NewsHour•Nov 12, 2024

US Overdose Deaths Down by 14%: CDC

Newsweek•Nov 14, 2024

Many more seniors are getting COVID shots this year, CDC reports

CBS•Nov 14, 2024

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