Question

What will be the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31 if less than 50% of Americans initiate vaccination (1st dose received) with a COVID-19 vaccine by 2021-03-01?

Resolved :828k

10 comments10

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction668k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1M

...

564k

668.4k

761.6k

2.4%

What was the final result?828k

Community Baseline Score

2.2

Community Peer Score

33.6

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

Food and Drug Administration

Johns Hopkins University

Moderna

COVID-19 vaccine

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