Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will President Trump be relieved of his duties under section four of the Twenty-fifth Amendment before inauguration day?

Resolved :No1%
23
63
Total Forecasters267
Community Prediction1% (1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
90.5
Community Peer Score
14.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Politics
2021 Leaderboard
Vice President of the US
United States presidential inauguration
United States Capitol
Joe Biden
Donald Trump
Twenty-fifth Amendment to the United States Constitution

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