Question

How many consecutive Presidents of the United States will there be?

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction76 (52.9 - 122)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>1k
community	52.92	75.98	121.8	1.6%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	52.92	—
median	75.98	—
upper 75%	121.8	—
Upper bound
>1k	1.6%	—

Authors:

kjz

Opened:

Jan 14, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 3000

Constitution of the US

President of the US

12 fun facts about U.S. Presidents: Who is the first American-born president? The tallest?

USA Today•Feb 17, 2025

Trump Keeps Teasing a Third Term. Here’s What to Know

Time•Feb 16, 2025

President’s Day and America’s 5 best presidents

American Thinker•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the U.S. next have a President who serves two consecutive terms?

What will be the mean age of the next 5 US Presidents from 2022 to 2040?

63.9

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

46%

Comments

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Authors:

kjz

Opened:

Jan 14, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 3000

Constitution of the US

President of the US

12 fun facts about U.S. Presidents: Who is the first American-born president? The tallest?

USA Today•Feb 17, 2025

Trump Keeps Teasing a Third Term. Here’s What to Know

Time•Feb 16, 2025

President’s Day and America’s 5 best presidents

American Thinker•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the U.S. next have a President who serves two consecutive terms?

What will be the mean age of the next 5 US Presidents from 2022 to 2040?

63.9

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

46%