Question

Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?

221 comments221

Total Forecasters726

Community Prediction3% (1% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Authors:

beala

Opened:

Jan 19, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2031

Could Russia destabilize itself?

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

A new Civil War?

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

Generals Pour Cold Water on Canada Going to War With US as Videos Go Viral

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

beala

Opened:

Jan 19, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2031

Could Russia destabilize itself?

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

A new Civil War?

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

Generals Pour Cold Water on Canada Going to War With US as Videos Go Viral

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?

57%

Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?

89%

Will there be a war between two or more democratic countries before 2072?

60%