Question

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2022-01-14 in accuracy?

Resolved :84.8

8 comments8

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction84.7

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>89

...

83.68

84.71

85.92

3.0%

What was the final result?84.8

Community Baseline Score

11.1

Community Peer Score

35.4

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

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Resolves:

Forecasting AI Progress

Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round

Artificial Intelligence

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

207

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

91.9

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