Question

When will 50% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?

Resolved :Jul 31, 20212021-06-19

27 comments27

Total Forecasters115

Community Prediction2021-06-19 (2021-06-04 - 2021-07-07)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2022-06-30

...

2021-06-04 22:22

2021-06-19 10:58

2021-07-07 08:18

0.2%

What was the final result?Jul 31, 2021

Community Baseline Score

41.4

Community Peer Score

15.1

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

j.m.

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Flu vaccination rates ‘concerningly’ low among US kids, health officials warn

FOX News•Dec 13, 2024

Increasing Public Criticism, Confusion Over COVID-19 Response in U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

Why is vaccine hesitancy among Republicans more common?

•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

91.7

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

j.m.

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Flu vaccination rates ‘concerningly’ low among US kids, health officials warn

FOX News•Dec 13, 2024

Increasing Public Criticism, Confusion Over COVID-19 Response in U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

Why is vaccine hesitancy among Republicans more common?

•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

91.7

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

When will 50% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?

Make a Prediction

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Comments

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?