Question

Will the UK have a 7 day rolling average above 2,000 covid deaths before June?

Resolved :No1%

22 comments22

Total Forecasters167

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

93.0

Community Peer Score

18.6

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Authors:

JKitson

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

NHS warning over Christmas gatherings as flu cases soar in worst December for three years

Independent•Dec 19, 2024

Christmas FLU-NAMI: Experts issue urgent warning as cases surge across UK - call for return of social distancing to protect vulnerable

Daily Mail•Dec 25, 2024

Christmas Day could be one of warmest on record in UK, predicts Met Office

Guardian•Dec 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Lightning Round Tournament Question 2.3.0

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

121k

What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?

815

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