Question

How many patients will the Shandong Yinfeng Life Science Research Institute report by 2026?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction82 (46.9 - 122)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>250

...

46.89

82.04

121.7

1.4%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Jan 13, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Technology

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Medicine

‘I’m superwoman’: Alabama woman with pig organ inside her is thriving two months after transplant

Independent•Jan 25, 2025

The only person in the world with a functioning pig organ is thriving after a record 2 months

Associated Press•Jan 25, 2025

Alabama woman who is the only person in the world with a functioning pig organ is thriving after a record 2 months

CBS•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?

394

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

0.74

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

16%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Jan 13, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Technology

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Medicine

‘I’m superwoman’: Alabama woman with pig organ inside her is thriving two months after transplant

Independent•Jan 25, 2025

The only person in the world with a functioning pig organ is thriving after a record 2 months

Associated Press•Jan 25, 2025

Alabama woman who is the only person in the world with a functioning pig organ is thriving after a record 2 months

CBS•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?

394

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

0.74

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

16%